Roberto Bautista Agut vs Denis Shapovalov
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
14 Ene 2025, 12:05
14 Ene 2025, 12:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
23/37 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -68,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2527 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3754 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -980,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -25,9228 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,9734 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6622 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,2830 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1020 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16,9763 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,3280 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,3347 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7530 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,4442 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,4059 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_diff | -33,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5952 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,8708 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 35,6533 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0777 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0455 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1956 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
902
API ID
13314103
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 902,
"api_id": 13314103,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-14T08:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.25274725274725274,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3753652905877003,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -980,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -25.922779922779924,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.973391388485723,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6621621621621622,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.28301886792453,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.256410256410255,
"p1_surface_matches": 49,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.10204081632653061,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.97626061776061,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.328042471042451,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.334749034749045,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7530038610038616,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.444239382239381,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.405907335907336,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.699999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5952380952380952,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7596685082872928,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.8707702586946913,
"surface_rank_synergy": 35.65329174133521,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07771428571428579,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.045513513513513515,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -0.19563090968372585,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}