Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaeva
WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles | Clay | Semifinals
05 Sep 2025, 11:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maria … Alina … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking #138
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #129
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 3/6 = 50,0%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking #163
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #212
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25,0000
rank_ratio 1,1812
log_rank_ratio 0,1665
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 87,0000
best_rank_diff 49,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,8889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,9579
surface_matches_ratio 1,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,8889
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,9091
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 18,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2222
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,5433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,7328
first_serve_won_diff -6,0000
second_serve_won_diff -2,5500
bp_saved_diff -0,7300
bp_converted_diff 2,3600
aces_per_match_diff -0,9839
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,0990
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4634
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,8031
serve_consistency_p2 4,4859
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,9795
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0939
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4247
utr_advantage 2,4670
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9059
API ID 14560143
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9059,
    "api_id": 14560143,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Maria Timofeeva",
    "player2": "Alina Charaeva",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-09-05T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 138,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 129,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 163,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 212,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 129,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 212,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 1.181159420289855,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.16649651564955756,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 87,
    "best_rank_diff": 49,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.957912457912457,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "p1_surface_matches": 18,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5433333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.732777777777777,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.549999999999997,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.7299999999999969,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.3599999999999994,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9838888888888888,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.09899999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4634146341463415,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.80310432268001,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.485946437293566,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.9794585749447393,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07500000000000001,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09388888888888891,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
    "utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
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    "utr_advantage": 2.467035304125912,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}