Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaeva
WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles | Clay | Semifinals
05 Sep 2025, 11:30
05 Sep 2025, 11:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking
#138
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#212
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1812 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1665 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 87,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,8889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,9579 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,9091 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,7328 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,5500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,3600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9839 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,0990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4634 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8031 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4859 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,9795 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0939 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4670 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9059
API ID
14560143
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9059,
"api_id": 14560143,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Timofeeva",
"player2": "Alina Charaeva",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Changsha, China Women Singles",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-09-05T07:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 138,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 129,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 212,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 129,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 212,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.181159420289855,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.16649651564955756,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 87,
"best_rank_diff": 49,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.957912457912457,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.5433333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.732777777777777,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.549999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.7299999999999969,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.3599999999999994,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9838888888888888,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.09899999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4634146341463415,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.80310432268001,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.485946437293566,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.9794585749447393,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07500000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09388888888888891,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 2.467035304125912,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}