Kayla Day vs Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara, Mexico | Hard | Quarterfinals
04 Sep 2025, 19:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kayla … Emiliana … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kayla Day
Ranking #261
UTR Rating 11.70 Pro
UTR Ranking #178
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 6/21 = 28.6%
Emiliana Arango
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 11.98 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 26/56 = 46.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -212.0000
rank_ratio 0.1877
log_rank_ratio -1.6727
rank_tier_advantage -3.0000
points_diff -881.0000
best_rank_diff -38.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1.5621
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12.4667
surface_matches_ratio 0.3750
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 47.6250
surface_wr_p2 49.1871
surface_wr_p1_stable 32.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46.6667
p1_surface_matches 21.0000
p2_surface_matches 56.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.7000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11.6911
first_serve_won_diff 7.0728
second_serve_won_diff 5.9024
bp_saved_diff -4.2640
bp_converted_diff -3.8680
aces_per_match_diff 3.1920
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 70.0000
momentum_p2 70.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4.1700
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8571
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.5556
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.2857
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4000
serve_consistency_p1 8.7247
serve_consistency_p2 3.7402
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2.6129
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1882
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.2201
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.2800
utr_p1 0.4353
utr_p2 0.4682
utr_advantage -2.3649
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 9064
API ID 14559648
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Guadalajara, Mexico
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9064,
    "api_id": 14559648,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Kayla Day",
    "player2": "Emiliana Arango",
    "tournament": "Guadalajara, Mexico ",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-09-04T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 261,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 178,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 11.98,
      "utr_ranking": 123,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 178,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.98,
      "ranking": 123,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -212,
    "rank_ratio": 0.18773946360153257,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6727001092120668,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "points_diff": -881,
    "best_rank_diff": -38,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.5620967741935416,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.466666666666665,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.375,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.625,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.18709677419354,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.691136129032266,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.072800000000008,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.9024,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.264000000000003,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.868000000000002,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.192008064516129,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.1699999999999875,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.7246654261639,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.740180139506944,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.6129194447933544,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18824999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22012903225806457,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.28000000000000114,
    "utr_p1": 0.4352941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_advantage": -2.3648648648648742,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}