Viktoriya Tomova vs Daria Kasatkina
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
14 Jan 2025, 00:00
14 Jan 2025, 00:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Viktoriya … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking
#132
UTR Rating
11.95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
28/63 = 44.4%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
35/64 = 54.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -95.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2803 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.2719 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -777.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7.0713 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.6356 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9844 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44.2211 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.2923 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44.7761 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.4118 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 63.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 64.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.5618 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.9221 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.2163 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.6828 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7.0512 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.5679 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43.9714 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7606 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6181 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3529 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0.2747 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.7801 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8.9938 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0372 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0821 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.0704 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
912
API ID
13314309
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 912,
"api_id": 13314309,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Viktoriya Tomova",
"player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-14T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.95,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 63,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 37,
"utr_singles": 12.2,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.6875,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 64,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -777,
"best_rank_diff": -38,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.071255060728745,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.635645302897274,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.984375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.776119402985074,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.41176470588235,
"p1_surface_matches": 63,
"p2_surface_matches": 64,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.5617668016194344,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9221052631578956,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.2163076923076943,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.6827611336032362,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.0511821862348185,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5679109311740889,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.971428571428575,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7605633802816901,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6181229773462783,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.27472527472527375,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.780057303851165,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.993816241963373,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.037210526315789416,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08207692307692305,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
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"utr_p2": 0.49411764705882344,
"utr_advantage": -2.070393374741201,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}