Viktoriya Tomova vs Daria Kasatkina
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
14 Ene 2025, 04:00
14 Ene 2025, 04:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Viktoriya … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -85,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3359 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0908 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -670,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,0713 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,6356 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9844 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,2211 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,2923 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,7761 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,4118 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 63,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,5618 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9221 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,2163 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,6828 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0512 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5679 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -44,9714 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7606 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6181 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,2747 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7801 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,7135 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0272 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0721 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,0738 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
912
API ID
13314309
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 912,
"api_id": 13314309,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Viktoriya Tomova",
"player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-14T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 11.93,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.93,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -85,
"rank_ratio": 0.3359375,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0908301482260547,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -670,
"best_rank_diff": -38,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.071255060728745,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.635645302897274,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.984375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.22105263157894,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.29230769230769,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.776119402985074,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.41176470588235,
"p1_surface_matches": 63,
"p2_surface_matches": 64,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.5617668016194344,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9221052631578956,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.2163076923076943,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.6827611336032362,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.0511821862348185,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5679109311740889,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -44.971428571428575,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7605633802816901,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6181229773462783,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.27472527472527375,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.780057303851165,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.713538206038977,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.027210526315789407,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07207692307692304,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
"utr_p1": 0.4623529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_advantage": -2.073828287017835,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}