Egor Gerasimov vs Matteo Covato
Rennes, France | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Sep 2025, 09:40
07 Sep 2025, 09:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Egor … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Egor Gerasimov
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#691
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
35/72 = 48.6%
Matteo Covato
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1309
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Egor Gerasimov
Record 2025
19W - 19L (50%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
13.5
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Matteo Covato
Record 2025
20W - 31L (39%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12.8
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Egor Gerasimov ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13.5 vs 12.8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 43.2632 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12.6150 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 36.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43.2632 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48.6842 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 29.6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 72.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0278 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.5881 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.9067 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.9580 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 13.7794 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14.9598 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.0263 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5806 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0674 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5553 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.8756 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9161
API ID
14632792
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rennes, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9161,
"api_id": 14632792,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Egor Gerasimov",
"player2": "Matteo Covato",
"tournament": "Rennes, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-07T09:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.49,
"utr_ranking": 691,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 19,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.53,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.75,
"opponent_name": "Antoine Cornut Chauvinc"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.75,
"opponent_name": "Luca Preda"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.82,
"opponent_name": "Etienne Donnet"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.79,
"opponent_name": "Maxime Janvier"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.88,
"opponent_name": "Cannon Kingsley"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:07.306756+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 48.61111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 72,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.72,
"utr_ranking": 1309,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 20,
"utr_v4_losses": 31,
"utr_v4_wr": 39.21568627450981,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.78,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.49,
"opponent_name": "Martin MALDONADO"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Santiago Lora"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Ricardo Rodriguez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.66,
"opponent_name": "Gray Voelzke"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.83,
"opponent_name": "Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:42.768306+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.49,
"ranking": 691,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.72,
"ranking": 1309,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 43.26315789473684,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.614970760233918,
"surface_matches_ratio": 36.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.26315789473684,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.68421052631579,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 29.666666666666664,
"p1_surface_matches": 72,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.027777777777777776,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.588136842105257,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9067368421052606,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.9579999999999984,
"bp_saved_diff": 13.77936842105263,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.959789473684204,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.02631578947368496,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5806451612903226,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06736842105263158,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.7699999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.6458823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.5552941176470589,
"utr_advantage": 5.875619992369321,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}