Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open | Hard | Final
07 Sep 2025, 22:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jannik … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 39/42 = 92,9%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 37/43 = 86,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -1,0000
rank_ratio 0,5000
log_rank_ratio -0,6931
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -550,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,5693
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12,1724
surface_matches_ratio 1,2667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 8,0000
surface_wr_p1 93,3019
surface_wr_p2 82,7326
surface_wr_p1_stable 91,9192
surface_wr_p2_stable 79,7468
p1_surface_matches 95,0000
p2_surface_matches 75,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,8737
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,8509
first_serve_won_diff 4,3082
second_serve_won_diff -0,3269
bp_saved_diff 10,8283
bp_converted_diff 1,0345
aces_per_match_diff 0,8975
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -2,0000
h2h_matches 4,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,2500
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,2554
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1045
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,3579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,9000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5238
serve_consistency_p1 5,4907
serve_consistency_p2 0,9127
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,3261
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,4340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3263
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0700
utr_p1 0,9871
utr_p2 0,9788
utr_advantage 0,4280
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9188
API ID 14494928
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9188,
    "api_id": 14494928,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jannik Sinner",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-09-07T18:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 16.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 16.32,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Pro",
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    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.5,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.569328652917946,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.172356476153936,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2666666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 93.30188679245283,
    "surface_wr_p2": 82.73255813953489,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 91.91919191919192,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "p1_surface_matches": 95,
    "p2_surface_matches": 75,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.8736842105263158,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.8509366132806804,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.3082163229486525,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3269356077226817,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.828316558797717,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.0344535706450202,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.897454567061577,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -2,
    "h2h_matches": 4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.2553683372044891,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1044973544973544,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5238095238095238,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.490713746497913,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.9126521860916116,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.326100356181519,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.4340188679245284,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.32632558139534884,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.4280036686028755,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}