Madison Keys vs Ann Li
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
14 Jan 2025, 06:10
14 Jan 2025, 06:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Madison … | Ann … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
88% (8p)
WR Hard
31/44 = 70.5%
Ann Li
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
12.30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
30/53 = 56.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 31.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5.4286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.6917 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3001.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 28.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13.1970 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12.6096 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8302 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.8030 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.1404 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 53.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4091 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.0274 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.9690 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.1290 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.8747 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.5926 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8021 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25.1010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7643 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7550 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.1521 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.4963 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22.3250 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1690 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0990 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 26.3939 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5059 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.4528 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
925
API ID
13314296
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Madison Keys",
"player2": "Ann Li",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-14T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"form_l10_wr": 87.5,
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"utr_singles": 12.3,
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"wr_surface": 56.60377358490566,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 28,
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"p2_surface_matches": 53,
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"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.0274045454545373,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9689999999999941,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1289999999999907,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.874749999999992,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5926249999999982,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8021022727272733,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 41.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.101,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7642857142857142,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7549668874172185,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.15210734687298,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.496333811153857,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.324997049916725,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16899999999999993,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09903030303030302,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 26.39393939393939,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.5058823529411766,
"utr_advantage": 1.4527845036319589,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
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}