Lucrezia Stefanini vs Magdalena Frech
Guadalajara | Hard | Round of 16
12 Sep 2025, 07:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lucrezia … Magdalena … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #209
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/23 = 47,8%
Magdalena Frech
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -82,0000
rank_ratio 0,4101
log_rank_ratio -0,8914
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -575,0000
best_rank_diff -77,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,4815
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,9902
surface_matches_ratio 0,6143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 49,9783
surface_wr_p2 43,4968
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,0638
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,0541
p1_surface_matches 43,0000
p2_surface_matches 70,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0233
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,8615
first_serve_won_diff -3,0631
second_serve_won_diff 1,7827
bp_saved_diff -7,1043
bp_converted_diff 4,1627
aces_per_match_diff -1,9324
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,8160
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7055
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4667
serve_consistency_p1 9,8700
serve_consistency_p2 14,1557
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,7778
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0818
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1470
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5500
utr_p1 0,4247
utr_p2 0,4894
utr_advantage -4,6277
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9389
API ID 14601573
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Guadalajara
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9389,
    "api_id": 14601573,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
    "player2": "Magdalena Frech",
    "tournament": "Guadalajara",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-09-12T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 209,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 57,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 209,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -82,
    "rank_ratio": 0.41007194244604317,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8914226652961416,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -575,
    "best_rank_diff": -77,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.4814986123959315,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9902242668200145,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6142857142857143,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 49.97826086956522,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.49676225716929,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.06382978723404,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.054054054054056,
    "p1_surface_matches": 43,
    "p2_surface_matches": 70,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.023255813953488372,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.861524051803876,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.0630804810360814,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.782724329324708,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.104303885291394,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.162740518038859,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9324005550416279,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "momentum_diff": 39.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.81599999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7054545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.870033425069321,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.155698251407458,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.777754768175225,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08178260869565213,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1470323774283071,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
    "utr_p1": 0.4247058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.4894117647058824,
    "utr_advantage": -4.627681952040393,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}