Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic
Guadalajara | Hard | Round of 16
12 Sep 2025, 22:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jelena … Marina … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking #24
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/21 = 38,1%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking #127
UTR Rating 11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #116
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 103,0000
rank_ratio 5,2917
log_rank_ratio 1,6661
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1176,0000
best_rank_diff 109,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,2452
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,7857
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,0215
surface_wr_p2 50,2667
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,7857
p1_surface_matches 52,0000
p2_surface_matches 52,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,2470
first_serve_won_diff 2,0513
second_serve_won_diff -0,8599
bp_saved_diff 0,6925
bp_converted_diff -0,3231
aces_per_match_diff 2,2397
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,8200
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 15,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7981
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6190
serve_consistency_p1 11,6115
serve_consistency_p2 4,3878
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,0730
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1428
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1057
elite_surface_amplifier -8,4903
UTR
utr_diff 0,1300
utr_p1 0,4824
utr_p2 0,4671
utr_advantage 1,0802
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9413
API ID 14601561
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Guadalajara
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9413,
    "api_id": 14601561,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jelena Ostapenko",
    "player2": "Marina Stakusic",
    "tournament": "Guadalajara",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-09-12T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 24,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.095238095238095,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 127,
      "utr_singles": 11.97,
      "utr_ranking": 116,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.97,
      "ranking": 116,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 103,
    "rank_ratio": 5.291666666666667,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.6661332561106457,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 1176,
    "best_rank_diff": 109,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.245161290322585,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7857142857142776,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.02150537634408,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.266666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.78571428571429,
    "p1_surface_matches": 52,
    "p2_surface_matches": 52,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.247040143369176,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.051298924731185,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.8599283154121906,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.6925390681003378,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.3231483870967722,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.239684587813619,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -57.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.82000000000001,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7981220657276995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.61153570927898,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.387808146716994,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.073004403360039,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14278494623655918,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10566666666666669,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -8.49032258064517,
    "utr_diff": 0.129999999999999,
    "utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_advantage": 1.0801828001661735,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}