Marina Stakusic vs Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara | Hard | Quarterfinals
13 Sep 2025, 03:10
13 Sep 2025, 03:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marina … | Emiliana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marina Stakusic
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
11.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#116
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
27/52 = 51.9%
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
11.98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/56 = 46.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -81.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3769 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.9757 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -582.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -68.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1.0796 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5.1190 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50.2667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.1871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.7857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46.6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.0694 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.5705 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.4268 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.2314 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.7984 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8780 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6190 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.4196 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.7068 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.0534 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0837 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0891 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4682 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.0835 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9416
API ID
14601570
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Guadalajara
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9416,
"api_id": 14601570,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marina Stakusic",
"player2": "Emiliana Arango",
"tournament": "Guadalajara",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-13T03:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 116,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 51.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 11.98,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 116,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -582,
"best_rank_diff": -68,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.079569892473124,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9285714285714286,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 49.18709677419354,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.78571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.666666666666664,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.038461538461538464,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.0693916845878135,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.570533333333337,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.4268444444444413,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.231377777777766,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.7984000000000009,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.878035842293907,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.549999999999983,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.4195650428850066,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.70682471377195,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0533516225315493,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08366666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08912903225806457,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
"utr_p1": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_advantage": -0.08350730688935103,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}