Michael Geerts vs Luca Potenza
Saint Tropez, France | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Sep 2025, 12:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michael … Luca … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Geerts
Ranking #293
UTR Rating 14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #321
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 13/26 = 50,0%
Luca Potenza
Ranking #372
UTR Rating 13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #501
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 79,0000
rank_ratio 1,2696
log_rank_ratio 0,2387
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 54,0000
best_rank_diff 145,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,7059
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,3254
surface_matches_ratio 3,6471
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 62,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,7366
first_serve_won_diff 0,3228
second_serve_won_diff -4,7367
bp_saved_diff 8,6208
bp_converted_diff 0,9250
aces_per_match_diff 1,4981
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 69,3878
momentum_p2 48,9796
momentum_diff 20,4082
weighted_momentum_diff 15,7653
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3077
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7923
serve_consistency_p2 2,8690
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,5106
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0790
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2261
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3400
utr_p1 0,7212
utr_p2 0,6812
utr_advantage 2,4355
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9517
API ID 14684924
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Saint Tropez, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9517,
    "api_id": 14684924,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Michael Geerts",
    "player2": "Luca Potenza",
    "tournament": "Saint Tropez, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-09-15T08:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 62,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.7366395173453952,
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    "bp_saved_diff": 8.620769230769227,
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
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    "momentum_p1": 69.38775510204083,
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    "momentum_diff": 20.40816326530613,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.765306122448976,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
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    "match_load_p1": 4,
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    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
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    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
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    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
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    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
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}