Francesca Curmi vs Verena Meliss
WTA 125K Tolentino, Italy Women Singles | Clay | Qualification Final
15 Sep 2025, 12:00
15 Sep 2025, 12:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francesca … | Verena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francesca Curmi
Ranking
#344
UTR Rating
11,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#326
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Verena Meliss
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#605
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Francesca Curmi
Sin datos UTR v4
Verena Meliss
Record 2025
32W - 32L (50%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 156,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4535 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3740 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 183,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 201,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,1460 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,1905 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 38,2000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 50,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 43,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 32,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 40,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 9,5238 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1742 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,3704 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,1164 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4060 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0107 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3306 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,9617 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9537
API ID
14685657
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Tolentino, Italy Women Singles
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9537,
"api_id": 14685657,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francesca Curmi",
"player2": "Verena Meliss",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Tolentino, Italy Women Singles",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-09-15T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 344,
"utr_singles": 11.36,
"utr_ranking": 326,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.81,
"utr_ranking": 605,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 32,
"utr_v4_losses": 32,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.66,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.64,
"opponent_name": "Enola Chiesa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.34,
"opponent_name": "Fabiola Marino"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.8,
"opponent_name": "Nicole Gadient"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.43,
"opponent_name": "Noemi Maines"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.36,
"opponent_name": "Alina Granwehr"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:57.125507+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.36,
"ranking": 326,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.81,
"ranking": 605,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 156,
"rank_ratio": 1.4534883720930232,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.37396644104879334,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 183,
"best_rank_diff": 201,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.333333333333329,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.1460317460317433,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 38.199999999999996,
"first_serve_won_diff": 50.3,
"second_serve_won_diff": 43.5,
"bp_saved_diff": 32.3,
"bp_converted_diff": 40.5,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_diff": 9.523809523809518,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.174221356328166,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.37037037037037,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.1163870087399426,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.406,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.010666666666666713,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.5499999999999989,
"utr_p1": 0.39529411764705874,
"utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
"utr_advantage": 4.961659900766792,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}