Elvina Kalieva vs Mariia Nozdrachova
WTA 125K Caldas da Rainha, Portugal Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
16 Sep 2025, 14:25
16 Sep 2025, 14:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elvina … | Mariia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#259
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60,0%
Mariia Nozdrachova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,65 Junior
UTR Ranking
#1406
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Elvina Kalieva
Sin datos UTR v4
Mariia Nozdrachova
Record 2025
14W - 21L (40%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
9,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 293,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4155 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8819 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 352,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 332,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,6227 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 13,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 54,7540 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 63,5900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 61,8300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 62,4500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 34,4600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2050 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,6564 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43,6535 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2980 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2070 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,8700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0765 | |
| utr_advantage | 28,4581 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9581
API ID
14685781
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Caldas da Rainha, Portugal Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9581,
"api_id": 14685781,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elvina Kalieva",
"player2": "Mariia Nozdrachova",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Caldas da Rainha, Portugal Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-16T10:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.52,
"utr_ranking": 259,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.65,
"utr_ranking": 1406,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 14,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 40.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.03,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.87,
"opponent_name": "Baylen Brown"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.99,
"opponent_name": "Jamilah Snells"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ashleigh Simes"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.07,
"opponent_name": "Isis Louise Van den Broek"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.52,
"opponent_name": "Britt Du Pree"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:36.600151+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.52,
"ranking": 259,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 8.65,
"ranking": 1406,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.4154589371980677,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8818893051568227,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 352,
"best_rank_diff": 332,
"surface_wr_diff": 49.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.622745098039212,
"surface_matches_ratio": 13.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 49.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.17647058823529,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.23076923076923078,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 54.75399999999999,
"first_serve_won_diff": 63.58999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": 61.83,
"bp_saved_diff": 62.449999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": 34.459999999999994,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.205,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.950000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.656435664342894,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.65352060526273,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29800000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20699999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 2.869999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.07647058823529417,
"utr_advantage": 28.45810609816558,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}