Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
15 Jan 2025, 00:30
15 Jan 2025, 00:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elise … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
34/62 = 54.8%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -14.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.2040 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -3614.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15.6924 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15.7842 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7126 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.9843 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0968 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.2012 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.5912 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.0968 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.2785 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.3471 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.8673 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3.9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7063 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.7456 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.2226 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18.8932 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0638 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1928 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.7767 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
960
API ID
13300964
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 960,
"api_id": 13300964,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elise Mertens",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-15T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
"wr_surface_wins": 62,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.78,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.3,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2039728043259361,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -3614,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.69236571051453,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.784215784215796,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7126436781609196,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.984326018808765,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0967741935483871,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.201200839088315,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.5912440191387702,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.0967942583732082,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.278516746411491,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.347081339712922,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8673085535154499,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.9499999999999886,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7063492063492064,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.745559287869712,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.222564168360352,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.89318155099634,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06384326018808761,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19276691729323292,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.34999999999999964,
"utr_p1": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": -2.7766759222530712,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}