Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
15 Jan 2025, 02:00
15 Jan 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolina … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolina Muchova
Ranking
#19
UTR Rating
12.57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
39/56 = 69.6%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
37/55 = 67.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8421 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1719 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -491.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.3459 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.2316 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69.0896 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69.4355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66.1017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3929 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.2935 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.6329 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.2512 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.4058 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8.4931 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.5508 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15.3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1027 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2.9340 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0594 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1939 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1914 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.2384 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
966
API ID
13300949
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 966,
"api_id": 13300949,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Karolina Muchova",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-15T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.57,
"utr_ranking": 16,
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"wr_surface": 69.64285714285714,
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"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.6,
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"wr_surface_wins": 37,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
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"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 56,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.39285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.29348063024824,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.632939189189187,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2512162162162284,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.4058445945945977,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.493074324324326,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5508230853943923,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.299999999999983,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1027397260273972,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.933984154581183,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.05943749422221304,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19389615931721194,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1913548387096774,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
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"utr_p2": "0.0123",
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}