Katerina Siniakova vs Daria Kasatkina
Seoul | Hard | Round of 16
18 Sep 2025, 13:10
18 Sep 2025, 13:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katerina … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
21/33 = 63,6%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9556 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0455 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -12,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,0865 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1225 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0781 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,3788 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,2923 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,5342 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,4118 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1594 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,6325 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,2520 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6444 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,3189 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,5199 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1434 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,0790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 18,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6063 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6181 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,3796 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,4131 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1058 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0109 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,2727 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9664
API ID
14655426
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Seoul
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9664,
"api_id": 14655426,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Katerina Siniakova",
"player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
"tournament": "Seoul",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-18T09:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.46,
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"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 58,
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"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -19,
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"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 64,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15942028985507245,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6324627039627089,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.2519696969697023,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6443589743589797,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.3188927738927703,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.5198951048950988,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.14341491841491827,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 39.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.078999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.60625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6181229773462783,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.571439547526678,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.379643791987557,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.4130929612788056,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10578787878787876,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.010923076923076924,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.28000000000000114,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
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"utr_diff": "0.0839",
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"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}