Marko Topo vs Jan Choinski
Bad Waltersdorf, Austria | Clay | Round of 16
18 Sep 2025, 10:50
18 Sep 2025, 10:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marko … | Jan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marko Topo
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
14.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#161
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Clay
35/60 = 58.3%
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
25% (8p)
WR Clay
43/70 = 61.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -115.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5208 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6523 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -263.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -115.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1.3958 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2.9983 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60.9375 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57.8125 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.8108 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 70.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.0368 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.0200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.0600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.0300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4034 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 44.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 36.5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.7096 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12.1515 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.9105 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2244 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0083 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7776 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.5491 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9673
API ID
14654939
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bad Waltersdorf, Austria
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Marko Topo",
"player2": "Jan Choinski",
"tournament": "Bad Waltersdorf, Austria",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-18T10:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 70,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.0367857142857275,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.02000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.5999999999999943,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0600000000000023,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.030000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.4033928571428569,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 43.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 36.55,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.70955897501817,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.151517291233901,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.9105372388470644,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.224375,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.008333333333333304,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
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"utr_p2": 0.7776470588235294,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
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"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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