Mark Lajal vs Alex Molcan
Saint Tropez, France | Hard | Round of 16
18 Sep 2025, 14:00
18 Sep 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mark … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mark Lajal
Ranking
#153
UTR Rating
14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#188
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
28/41 = 68,3%
Alex Molcan
Ranking
#206
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#149
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
7/11 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3464 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2974 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 121,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -107,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,7140 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,2594 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 96,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,4851 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,5968 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4587 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,1542 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,2278 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7746 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | -0,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,8321 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,9608 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,2059 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,1867 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0996 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0985 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 10,7140 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0334 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9677
API ID
14655001
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Saint Tropez, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9677,
"api_id": 14655001,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mark Lajal",
"player2": "Alex Molcan",
"tournament": "Saint Tropez, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-18T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 153,
"utr_singles": 14.44,
"utr_ranking": 188,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.29268292682927,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 206,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 149,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.44,
"ranking": 188,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 149,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.34640522875817,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2974382473971457,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 121,
"best_rank_diff": -107,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.713968957871394,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.8,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.25942350332593,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 96,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.485104212860307,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.596770140428674,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.4586622320768754,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.154249815225427,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.2278048780487865,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.7745602365114554,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_diff": -0.8571428571428541,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.8321428571428626,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.960818850167126,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.205882352941174,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.186744149496691,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09959423503325937,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09845454545454535,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 10.713968957871394,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.7576470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -1.0334137099552212,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}