Paula Badosa vs Talia Gibson
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
15 Jan 2025, 11:15
15 Jan 2025, 11:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Paula … | Talia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
39/60 = 65.0%
Talia Gibson
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
11.83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#146
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
10/23 = 43.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 97.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.8800 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.5851 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1042.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 103.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18.4971 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17.3293 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.6087 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.8900 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43.3929 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64.0625 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44.4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.7117 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.2312 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.2076 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.2620 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9.0598 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4669 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 61.2245 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 61.2245 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 54.3673 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9567 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5361 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7778 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.8721 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.5408 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 29.3206 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0219 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0309 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 36.9942 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4506 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.3037 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
973
API ID
13300946
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 973,
"api_id": 13300946,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Paula Badosa",
"player2": "Talia Gibson",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-15T11:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 13,
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"wr_surface": 65.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.83,
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"wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 13,
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
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"best_rank_diff": 103,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.497095010252906,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.32928240740741,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.0625,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.711667464114832,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.23117224880383,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.207631578947371,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.261961722488032,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.059808612440193,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.46689593301435384,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 61.22448979591838,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 61.22448979591838,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 54.367346938775526,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9566787003610109,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5360824742268041,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.8720706919424157,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.540763673890609,
"surface_rank_synergy": 29.32058173689217,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02189952153110042,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03092857142857136,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 36.99419002050581,
"utr_diff": 0.7699999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.4505882352941177,
"utr_advantage": 6.303724928366759,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
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}
}