Paula Badosa vs Talia Gibson
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
15 Ene 2025, 15:15
15 Ene 2025, 15:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Paula … | Talia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Talia Gibson
Ranking
#119
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
6/16 = 37,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 93,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,5769 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5210 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1042,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 103,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,4971 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,3293 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6087 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,8900 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,3929 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,0625 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7117 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,2312 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,2076 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,2620 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0598 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4669 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 61,2245 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 61,2245 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 57,0561 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9567 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5361 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7778 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,8721 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5408 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28,1346 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0259 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0269 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 36,9942 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,3778 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
973
API ID
13300946
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 973,
"api_id": 13300946,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Paula Badosa",
"player2": "Talia Gibson",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-15T11:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 119,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 145,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 145,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 4.576923076923077,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5210269550900473,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1042,
"best_rank_diff": 103,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.497095010252906,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.32928240740741,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.608695652173913,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.889952153110045,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.39285714285714,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.0625,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.711667464114832,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.23117224880383,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.207631578947371,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.261961722488032,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.059808612440193,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.46689593301435384,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 61.22448979591838,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 61.22448979591838,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 57.05612244897959,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9566787003610109,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5360824742268041,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.8720706919424157,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.540763673890609,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.134580101456283,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.025899521531100422,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.026928571428571357,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 36.99419002050581,
"utr_diff": 0.7799999999999994,
"utr_p1": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.4517647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 6.3777596075224805,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}