Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu | Hard | Quarterfinals
21 Sep 2025, 10:15
21 Sep 2025, 10:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Nikoloz … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
38/69 = 55.1%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ranking
#109
UTR Rating
14.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#137
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
35/59 = 59.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 101.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 13.6250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.6119 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3467.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4.0777 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.9356 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1695 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.6216 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.6993 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.7945 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.7302 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1014 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0.3524 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.7583 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.9882 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.1131 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.1770 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.8140 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8.9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0466 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7660 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5152 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.3476 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.7949 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10.6505 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0348 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2080 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -16.3107 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7812 | |
| utr_advantage | 9.1265 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9751
API ID
14727788
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Chengdu
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14727788,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Nikoloz Basilashvili",
"tournament": "Chengdu",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-09-21T10:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.64,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3523544698544683,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7583236076985997,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.9882396601146652,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1131239762489855,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.1770418714168684,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8139940858690853,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.899999999999977,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7659574468085106,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.3475516557055585,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.794913043140875,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.65051583771522,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03478378378378377,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20799300699300693,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -16.310716310716288,
"utr_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}