Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu | Hard | Semifinals
22 Sep 2025, 09:00
22 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
57/95 = 60.0%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#81
UTR Rating
15.18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
29/53 = 54.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.4545 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.8979 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 709.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2.6780 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5.2100 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7925 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.9780 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.3000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59.5960 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.3860 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 53.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.0098 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.4875 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.4769 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.1944 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.3191 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.0885 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7.9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9785 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9153 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4902 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.9744 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.7220 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2.4047 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0218 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0910 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2.6780 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8447 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.7931 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9774
API ID
14736372
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Chengdu
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9774,
"api_id": 14736372,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
"player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"tournament": "Chengdu",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-09-22T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.61,
"utr_ranking": 50,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 57,
"wr_surface_total": 95,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.71698113207547,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 53,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.61,
"ranking": 50,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 48,
"rank_ratio": 2.4545454545454546,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8979415932059586,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 709,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.678021978021988,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.209994683678886,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7924528301886793,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.978021978021985,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.3,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.59595959595959,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.385964912280706,
"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 53,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.0098087179487294,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.4874593406593561,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.476881318681329,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1944241758241674,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.3190637362637361,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.08849267399267369,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.97999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9785407725321889,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9152542372881356,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.49019607843137253,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.974438911106943,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.721961883134556,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.4047073215856365,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.021780219780219823,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09099999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.678021978021988,
"utr_diff": 0.4299999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.8952941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 2.7931146476128594,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}