Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu | Hard | Semifinals
22 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Brandon … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking #50
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 57/95 = 60.0%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #81
UTR Rating 15.18 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 29/53 = 54.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48.0000
rank_ratio 2.4545
log_rank_ratio 0.8979
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 709.0000
best_rank_diff -10.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2.6780
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5.2100
surface_matches_ratio 1.7925
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 56.9780
surface_wr_p2 54.3000
surface_wr_p1_stable 59.5960
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.3860
p1_surface_matches 95.0000
p2_surface_matches 53.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1.0098
first_serve_won_diff 1.4875
second_serve_won_diff 1.4769
bp_saved_diff 1.1944
bp_converted_diff 0.3191
aces_per_match_diff -0.0885
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 78.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -22.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7.9800
current_streak_diff -3.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff -3.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9785
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9153
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4902
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 2.9744
serve_consistency_p2 6.7220
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2.4047
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0218
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0910
elite_surface_amplifier 2.6780
UTR
utr_diff 0.4300
utr_p1 0.8953
utr_p2 0.8447
utr_advantage 2.7931
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 9774
API ID 14736372
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Chengdu
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9774,
    "api_id": 14736372,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "tournament": "Chengdu",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-09-22T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.61,
      "utr_ranking": 50,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 57,
      "wr_surface_total": 95,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 81,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.71698113207547,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 53,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.61,
      "ranking": 50,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 48,
    "rank_ratio": 2.4545454545454546,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8979415932059586,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 709,
    "best_rank_diff": -10,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.678021978021988,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.209994683678886,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7924528301886793,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.978021978021985,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.3,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.59595959595959,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.385964912280706,
    "p1_surface_matches": 95,
    "p2_surface_matches": 53,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.0098087179487294,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.4874593406593561,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.476881318681329,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1944241758241674,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.3190637362637361,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.08849267399267369,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.97999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9785407725321889,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9152542372881356,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.49019607843137253,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.974438911106943,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.721961883134556,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.4047073215856365,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.021780219780219823,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09099999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 2.678021978021988,
    "utr_diff": 0.4299999999999997,
    "utr_p1": 0.8952941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
    "utr_advantage": 2.7931146476128594,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}