Mattia Bellucci vs Yasutaka Uchiyama
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Round 1
22 Sep 2025, 02:00
22 Sep 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Yasutaka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14.93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
52/96 = 54.2%
Yasutaka Uchiyama
Ranking
#312
UTR Rating
14.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#279
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
52/98 = 53.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 238.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.2162 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.4389 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 599.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3.1367 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.0588 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9796 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46.8760 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.0127 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52.9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 96.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 98.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.8972 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.3049 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.4542 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3.2768 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.3957 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.7405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9.6810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 25.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5122 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.8521 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.7323 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4.5135 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2692 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2381 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -6.2734 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7282 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.0824 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9780
API ID
14736695
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9780,
"api_id": 14736695,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Yasutaka Uchiyama",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-22T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.93,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 52,
"wr_surface_total": 96,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 312,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 279,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.06122448979592,
"wr_surface_wins": 52,
"wr_surface_total": 98,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 279,
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 599,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.13671998685583,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.058823529411761,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9795918367346939,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 50.01268498942917,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"p1_surface_matches": 96,
"p2_surface_matches": 98,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.897221181038006,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.3049282805190927,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.4542496890774004,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.276800364293578,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.395684770722461,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.740515973750842,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.681000000000012,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5121951219512195,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.852133153188255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7322947267449837,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.5135458811967295,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2692403499742666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.23812684989429167,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -6.27343997371166,
"utr_diff": 0.7400000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.728235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 5.082417582417585,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}