Mattia Bellucci vs Yasutaka Uchiyama
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Round 1
22 Sep 2025, 06:00
22 Sep 2025, 06:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Yasutaka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Yasutaka Uchiyama
Ranking
#302
UTR Rating
14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#289
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/43 = 46,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 226,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,9737 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3797 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 581,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,1367 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0588 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9796 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8760 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0127 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 96,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 98,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8972 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,3049 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,4542 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,2768 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,3957 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,7810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5122 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8521 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7323 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,3277 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2572 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2261 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -6,2734 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7282 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8701 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9780
API ID
14736695
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9780,
"api_id": 14736695,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Yasutaka Uchiyama",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-22T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 302,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 289,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.51162790697674,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 289,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.973684210526316,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3796936770885386,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 581,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.13671998685583,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.058823529411761,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9795918367346939,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.87596500257334,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.01268498942917,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"p1_surface_matches": 96,
"p2_surface_matches": 98,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.897221181038006,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.3049282805190927,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.4542496890774004,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.276800364293578,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.395684770722461,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.740515973750842,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.781000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5121951219512195,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.852133153188255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7322947267449837,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.327712732662233,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2572403499742666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22612684989429166,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -6.27343997371166,
"utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
"utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.728235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 3.870076019350384,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}