Sho Shimabukuro vs Mariano Navone
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Round 1
22 Sep 2025, 09:15
22 Sep 2025, 09:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sho … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sho Shimabukuro
Ranking
#144
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#172
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
29% (7p)
WR Hard
30/47 = 63,8%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/17 = 29,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -70,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5139 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6657 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -330,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -106,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,3162 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 29,1605 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,3330 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27,0168 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,7320 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 93,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1613 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,5214 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,2330 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,8336 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8424 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,4397 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4274 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,6050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6602 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9451 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9921 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -22,1802 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1733 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2998 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,3161 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9785
API ID
14736686
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9785,
"api_id": 14736686,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sho Shimabukuro",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-22T05:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 144,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 172,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.829787234042556,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 172,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5138888888888888,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.665748206371831,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -330,
"best_rank_diff": -106,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.316218254184186,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 29.160530191458022,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.33302497687326,
"surface_wr_p2": 27.016806722689076,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.73195876288659,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 93,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16129032258064516,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.521350628503015,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.232972115765833,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.833551605656126,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.842382714417859,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.439725783005159,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4273995444616325,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.605000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6601941747572816,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.945077572919406,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.992134276788008,
"surface_rank_synergy": -22.180212545815575,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17333024976873257,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2998319327731092,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.7658823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_advantage": -2.3160762942779285,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}