Mae Malige vs Alexey Vatutin
Orleans, France | Hard | Qualification Round 1
21 Sep 2025, 18:20
21 Sep 2025, 18:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mae … | Alexey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mae Malige
Ranking
#442
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
29% (7p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Alexey Vatutin
Ranking
#378
UTR Rating
13.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#390
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
23/45 = 51.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -64.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8552 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1564 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -24.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -282.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11.3761 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.4529 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.3000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.6761 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.0204 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.5646 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.9167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.4979 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.2184 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.4287 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4778 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16.6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.6409 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.1955 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.7794 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0530 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0672 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7024 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9822
API ID
14730381
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Orleans, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 9822,
"api_id": 14730381,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mae Malige",
"player2": "Alexey Vatutin",
"tournament": "Orleans, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-21T18:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
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"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 28.57142857142857,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 390,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"points_diff": -24,
"best_rank_diff": -282,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.376113360323885,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6444444444444445,
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"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.5645513765182173,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.916681781376525,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.4979218623481785,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.218383805668026,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.4286708502024297,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.4777935222672065,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.619999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.6409183359980384,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.195482586052124,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.7794025804803424,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0530000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06723886639676113,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}