Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
21 Sep 2025, 17:00
21 Sep 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joaquin … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 General
UTR Ranking
#451
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
8/15 = 53,3%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#412
UTR Rating
13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#500
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Record 2025
40W - 23L (63%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Juan Manuel La Serna
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -88,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8240 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1936 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -88,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,6078 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,1012 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,8333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,4116 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,7400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,6800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,5600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,8200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0188 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 229,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,0856 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0387 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1586 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6812 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,8977 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9827
API ID
14732349
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9827,
"api_id": 14732349,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo",
"player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-21T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 451,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 40,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.49206349206349,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.28,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.45,
"opponent_name": "Mateo Carballo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.64,
"opponent_name": "Francisco Tomas Geschwind"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.37,
"opponent_name": "Maximo Zeitune"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.52,
"opponent_name": "Felix Corwin"
},
{
"win": false,
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"opponent_name": "Juan Estevez"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.264846+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 412,
"utr_singles": 13.79,
"utr_ranking": 500,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 451,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.79,
"ranking": 500,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -88,
"rank_ratio": 0.824,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1935847490726654,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -115,
"best_rank_diff": -88,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.607843137254896,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.1011904761904756,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.85,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.94117647058823,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.83333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.411647058823533,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.740000000000002,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.68,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.5600000000000094,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.82,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.018823529411764683,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 229,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.085592906564358,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03866666666666668,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15858823529411764,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.7899999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.6811764705882352,
"utr_advantage": -5.8977230309817035,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}