Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu | Hard | Final
23 Sep 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lorenzo … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/37 = 59,5%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 74,0000
rank_ratio 15,8000
log_rank_ratio 2,7600
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 3368,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,3216
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,4086
surface_matches_ratio 1,3019
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6216
surface_wr_p2 54,3000
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,7945
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,3860
p1_surface_matches 69,0000
p2_surface_matches 53,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1014
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,9293
first_serve_won_diff -2,5911
second_serve_won_diff 4,6604
bp_saved_diff -6,6992
bp_converted_diff -0,1486
aces_per_match_diff -3,5159
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0466
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9153
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5152
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3995
serve_consistency_p2 6,3791
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,4077
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0078
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1170
elite_surface_amplifier 6,9649
UTR
utr_diff 0,7100
utr_p1 0,9141
utr_p2 0,8306
utr_advantage 4,6059
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9847
API ID 14743371
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Chengdu
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9847,
    "api_id": 14743371,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "tournament": "Chengdu",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-09-23T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.77,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "rank_ratio": 15.8,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
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    "best_rank_diff": 14,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.4085556356644986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3018867924528301,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.62162162162162,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.3,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.794520547945204,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.385964912280706,
    "p1_surface_matches": 69,
    "p2_surface_matches": 53,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10144927536231885,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.929302162162152,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.5910885135135118,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.6603790540540615,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.699220945945953,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.14863581081080213,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.5159358108108094,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0466321243523315,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9152542372881356,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.399539303895304,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.00778378378378386,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 6.964864864864872,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
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    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
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    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}