Mattia Bellucci vs Ethan Quinn
Tokyo | Hard | Qualification Final
23 Sep 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mattia … Ethan … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 14.93 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 52/96 = 54.2%
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking #87
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 51/90 = 56.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -4.0000
rank_ratio 0.9459
log_rank_ratio -0.0556
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -36.0000
best_rank_diff 1.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10.7920
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2.3830
surface_matches_ratio 1.0667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 46.8760
surface_wr_p2 57.6680
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56.3830
p1_surface_matches 96.0000
p2_surface_matches 90.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0.4927
first_serve_won_diff -1.2752
second_serve_won_diff 1.3636
bp_saved_diff 5.1708
bp_converted_diff -5.7167
aces_per_match_diff -0.1321
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 62.0000
momentum_p2 42.0000
momentum_diff 20.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17.7150
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.7500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9189
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4483
serve_consistency_p1 13.6000
serve_consistency_p2 4.3103
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.5997
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0272
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0727
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.2600
utr_p1 0.8153
utr_p2 0.8459
utr_advantage -1.7264
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 9859
API ID 14740899
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9859,
    "api_id": 14740899,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "player2": "Ethan Quinn",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-09-23T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 52,
      "wr_surface_total": 96,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 15.19,
      "utr_ranking": 87,
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      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 51,
      "wr_surface_total": 90,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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      "division": "Pro",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 57.66798418972331,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.38297872340425,
    "p1_surface_matches": 96,
    "p2_surface_matches": 90,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -0.4927439312907893,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.275210291733373,
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    "bp_saved_diff": 5.17079429755951,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.716651219844628,
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_diff": 20.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.715000000000003,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.60003395173689,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}