Varvara Lepchenko vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Beijing | Hard | Qualification Round 2
23 Sep 2025, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Varvara … Aliaksandra … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 11.58 Pro
UTR Ranking #214
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 31/55 = 56.4%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #114
UTR Rating 12.13 Pro
UTR Ranking #73
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 25/54 = 46.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -29.0000
rank_ratio 0.7972
log_rank_ratio -0.2266
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -175.0000
best_rank_diff 10.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.7998
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9.3805
surface_matches_ratio 1.0185
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 47.7143
surface_wr_p2 46.9144
surface_wr_p1_stable 55.9322
surface_wr_p2_stable 46.5517
p1_surface_matches 55.0000
p2_surface_matches 54.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.3836
first_serve_won_diff -0.5969
second_serve_won_diff 3.5339
bp_saved_diff 4.4806
bp_converted_diff -0.6981
aces_per_match_diff -0.1891
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 50.0000
momentum_p2 40.0000
momentum_diff 10.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6.4900
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0741
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.5169
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4545
serve_consistency_p1 3.1439
serve_consistency_p2 10.3058
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0.1813
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0061
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0599
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.5500
utr_p1 0.4212
utr_p2 0.4859
utr_advantage -4.6394
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 9868
API ID 14741686
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Beijing
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9868,
    "api_id": 14741686,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Varvara Lepchenko",
    "player2": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "tournament": "Beijing",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2025-09-23T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 11.58,
      "utr_ranking": 214,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.36363636363636,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": 12.13,
      "utr_ranking": 73,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.2962962962963,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 54,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.58,
      "ranking": 214,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.13,
      "ranking": 73,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -29,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7972027972027972,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.22664618186541183,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -175,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.799839711480665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.380479251899473,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0185185185185186,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.71428571428571,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.91444600280504,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.932203389830505,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.55172413793103,
    "p1_surface_matches": 55,
    "p2_surface_matches": 54,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.12727272727272726,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.3835643358044507,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5969032258064502,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.5339354838709767,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.480645161290319,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.6981290322580662,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.18908234822680825,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.490000000000009,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0740740740740742,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5169491525423728,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.143906516110269,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.305804030813304,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.18128061671142534,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.006142857142857117,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05985553997194959,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
    "utr_p1": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.48588235294117654,
    "utr_advantage": -4.639392661324342,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}