Juan Pablo Varillas vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
22 Sep 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking #244
UTR Rating 14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #255
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 23/37 = 62,2%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #412
UTR Rating 13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #500
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 168,0000
rank_ratio 1,6885
log_rank_ratio 0,5239
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 112,0000
best_rank_diff 352,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,1493
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,4005
surface_matches_ratio 4,4500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0904
surface_wr_p2 42,9412
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,9140
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,8333
p1_surface_matches 89,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1236
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,4837
first_serve_won_diff 13,2800
second_serve_won_diff 5,0900
bp_saved_diff 2,1200
bp_converted_diff 8,5700
aces_per_match_diff 2,6584
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1333
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 66,6667
momentum_diff 3,3333
weighted_momentum_diff 2,9500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5405
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 12,4598
serve_consistency_p2 4,5106
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,4599
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0771
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0974
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4700
utr_p1 0,7365
utr_p2 0,6812
utr_advantage 3,3512
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9889
API ID 14738548
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9889,
    "api_id": 14738548,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
    "player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-09-22T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.26,
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      "wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 13.79,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.4005376344086,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.45,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 42.94117647058823,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.91397849462365,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.83333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 89,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.12359550561797752,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.483711507887982,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 13.280000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.089999999999996,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.1199999999999974,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.57,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.6583557539439893,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.13333333333333341,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "momentum_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.950000000000017,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.459800424562543,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.459872663501013,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07709563409563414,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}