Juan Pablo Varillas vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
22 Sep 2025, 18:00
22 Sep 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#255
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
23/37 = 62,2%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#412
UTR Rating
13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#500
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 168,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6885 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5239 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 112,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 352,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,1493 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,4005 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,4500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0904 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,9140 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,8333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 89,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1236 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,4837 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 13,2800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,0900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,5700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,6584 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | 3,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5405 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,4598 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5106 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,4599 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0771 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0974 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6812 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3512 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9889
API ID
14738548
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9889,
"api_id": 14738548,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
"player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-09-22T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 14.26,
"utr_ranking": 255,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 412,
"utr_singles": 13.79,
"utr_ranking": 500,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 255,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.6885245901639345,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5238551240563246,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 112,
"best_rank_diff": 352,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.14926011984835,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.4005376344086,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.45,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 42.94117647058823,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.91397849462365,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.83333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 89,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.12359550561797752,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.483711507887982,
"first_serve_won_diff": 13.280000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.089999999999996,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.1199999999999974,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.57,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.6583557539439893,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.13333333333333341,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.950000000000017,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.459800424562543,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.51062487060837,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.459872663501013,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07709563409563414,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09741176470588225,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.47000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.7364705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.6811764705882352,
"utr_advantage": 3.3511586452762967,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}