Denis Shapovalov vs Lorenzo Musetti
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
16 Ene 2025, 05:55
16 Ene 2025, 05:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Denis … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
23/37 = 62,2%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
22/37 = 59,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2174 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,5261 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2455,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,7297 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,4619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0725 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6216 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,2564 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,7945 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2162 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,8839 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,8896 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0597 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,3904 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,6606 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 61,2245 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | -5,4422 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,2205 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7597 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5152 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8424 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0333 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,2178 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1315 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0482 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6992 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
990
API ID
13300911
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 990,
"api_id": 13300911,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Denis Shapovalov",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-16T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
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"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -1.5260563034950494,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -2455,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.729729729729726,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.461889708465051,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0724637681159421,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.256410256410255,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.794520547945204,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.21621621621621623,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.883851351351346,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.8896452702702646,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0597128378378358,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.390388513513514,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.022246621621612,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.660557432432432,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 61.22448979591838,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_diff": -5.442176870748291,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.22052154195012,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7596685082872928,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.842433314193957,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.033340381103455,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.217833867881985,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13151351351351348,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04821621621621619,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.41999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -2.6992287917737787,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}