Adrian Mannarino vs Jesper De Jong
Beijing | Hard | Qualification Final
24 Sep 2025, 09:30
24 Sep 2025, 09:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0580 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0564 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 47,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,9912 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,8763 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5745 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,0088 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,0256 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,9020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,4677 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,2653 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6496 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5112 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6136 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,4150 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6863 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5517 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2018 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,2326 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,6757 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0939 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0340 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6368 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9927
API ID
14750683
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9927,
"api_id": 14750683,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-09-24T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 14.97,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.37,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.97,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 4,
"rank_ratio": 1.0579710144927537,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.05635293655113178,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 47,
"best_rank_diff": 54,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.991228070175438,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.876319758672707,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.574468085106383,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.00877192982456,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.02564102564102,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1891891891891892,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.467685241892625,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.265336842105285,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.6496497607655627,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5111830940988824,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.6136325358851664,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.4149558745348223,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.299999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6862745098039216,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5517241379310345,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.201835062479069,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.2325509876918463,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.6757409146087469,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09391228070175439,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03400000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.3999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.8200000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 2.636783124587993,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}