Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Beijing | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 12:25
25 Sep 2025, 12:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Camilo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
29/46 = 63,0%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/18 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2528 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1607,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,3158 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,6439 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,7586 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0128 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,6970 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,4242 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 80,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,8347 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,2612 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,2538 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,8125 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,2248 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7140 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,4350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5227 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,9269 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,5704 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,4509 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0651 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0680 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20,3158 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,5939 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9955
API ID
14749445
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 9955,
"api_id": 14749445,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"player2": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-25T08:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1607,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.315818026815478,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 2.7586206896551726,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"p1_surface_matches": 80,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.175,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.8346720530109195,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.26118499573740905,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.253775220233024,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.8124595055413693,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.224786871270247,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7139734945361553,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 24.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.435000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8038147138964578,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5597014925373134,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5227272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.9268969749016978,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.570372039858473,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.45090449868507,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06512787723785174,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06803030303030322,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 20.315818026815478,
"utr_diff": 0.8499999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_advantage": 5.593945376768671,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}