Jannik Sinner vs Marin Čilić
Beijing | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 15:00
25 Sep 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jannik … | Marin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
39/42 = 92,9%
Marin Čilić
Ranking
#70
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/18 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 68,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 35,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,5553 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 10710,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 43,3019 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 41,9192 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6389 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 13,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 93,3019 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 91,9192 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,8737 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,8819 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0472 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,6400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,0815 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,0893 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0487 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 59,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1045 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8493 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3636 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7237 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3031 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 153,9533 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3650 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0680 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 129,9057 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9956
API ID
14752018
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9956,
"api_id": 14752018,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jannik Sinner",
"player2": "Marin \u010cili\u0107",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-25T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.39,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 35.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.5553480614894135,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 10710,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 43.301886792452834,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 41.91919191919192,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.638888888888889,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_p1": 93.30188679245283,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 91.91919191919192,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.8736842105263158,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.8818899371069193,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0471698113207424,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.640031446540881,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.081540880503141,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.089276729559742,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.04874213836478,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 59.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1044973544973544,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8493150684931506,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.723657052477885,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.303115066160517,
"surface_rank_synergy": 153.95327926638123,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3650188679245283,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06800000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 129.90566037735852,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.9870588235294119,
"utr_p2": 0.9870588235294119,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}