Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 06:00
25 Sep 2025, 06:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marcos … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0392 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0385 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 10,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,3499 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,2927 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0169 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,9375 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,2874 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,4375 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,7302 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,6018 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3589 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5931 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,9837 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,4179 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,7222 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,4740 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8699 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9573 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4976 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,6145 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,4751 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0426 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0849 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1050 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9957
API ID
14740377
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9957,
"api_id": 14740377,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marcos Giron",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-25T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.3,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.0392156862745099,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.03846628082779614,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 10,
"best_rank_diff": -22,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.349856321839077,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.292658730158735,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0169491525423728,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.9375,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.28735632183908,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.4375,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.601822629310348,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.358934626436792,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.5931479885057485,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.983652298850586,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.417897270114942,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.722205459770114,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.473999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8698630136986302,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9572953736654805,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.52,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.497567708884514,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.6144798227542747,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.47505304145879546,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.042625000000000024,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08487356321839079,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -1.1049723756906071,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}