Yoshihito Nishioka vs Luciano Darderi
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 02:00
25 Sep 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yoshihito … | Luciano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yoshihito Nishioka
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
14.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
35/65 = 53.8%
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
8/35 = 22.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -84.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2364 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.4424 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1043.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 29.6015 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 27.9822 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.6015 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.6232 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 25.6410 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.8437 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.0474 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.5258 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.5131 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.4576 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.8889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -45.1450 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8084 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7251 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4762 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4211 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.7077 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.8049 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -42.6968 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1300 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3340 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8576 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.2569 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
9959
API ID
14740380
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14740380,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Yoshihito Nishioka",
"player2": "Luciano Darderi",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-25T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 117,
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"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.29,
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"wr_surface_wins": 8,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1043,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
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"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.843668975332065,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.0473861480075897,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5258235294117597,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.5131053130929857,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.4576148007590106,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.8888614800759007,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -45.14500000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8083832335329342,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7251461988304093,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47619047619047616,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42105263157894735,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.707663760192524,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.804949416365535,
"surface_rank_synergy": -42.69675087898781,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13001518026565462,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33399999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.48999999999999844,
"utr_p1": 0.8,
"utr_p2": 0.8576470588235293,
"utr_advantage": -3.2568959787304648,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}