Tomas Machac vs Sho Shimabukuro
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 08:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Sho … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking #24
UTR Rating 15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Sho Shimabukuro
Ranking #144
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #172
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 44% (9p)
WR Hard 30/47 = 63,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 120,0000
rank_ratio 6,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,7918
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1180,0000
best_rank_diff 115,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,0128
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,6014
surface_matches_ratio 0,7634
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,3202
surface_wr_p2 60,3330
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,7320
p1_surface_matches 71,0000
p2_surface_matches 93,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2394
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,4225
first_serve_won_diff 1,4538
second_serve_won_diff 3,0806
bp_saved_diff 2,7710
bp_converted_diff 1,4996
aces_per_match_diff 0,8857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,5510
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 24,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1078
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5882
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 10,7809
serve_consistency_p2 6,5478
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0230
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0168
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2233
elite_surface_amplifier -0,0257
UTR
utr_diff 0,7500
utr_p1 0,8541
utr_p2 0,7659
utr_advantage 5,0386
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9960
API ID 14750488
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 9960,
    "api_id": 14750488,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tomas Machac",
    "player2": "Sho Shimabukuro",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-09-25T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 24,
      "utr_singles": 15.26,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 144,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 172,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.829787234042556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.26,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 172,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 120,
    "rank_ratio": 6.0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 1180,
    "best_rank_diff": 115,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.01282793253828629,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.601374570446737,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7634408602150538,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.320197044334975,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.33302497687326,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.73195876288659,
    "p1_surface_matches": 71,
    "p2_surface_matches": 93,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23943661971830985,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.4224604407522747,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.4537766527070914,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0805863253783485,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.7709670392767265,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.499559931280558,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8856981083926128,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.551000000000002,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 24,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1077694235588973,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.780948931118406,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.547842395547462,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.02298456959609314,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.016798029556650218,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2233302497687326,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.02565586507657258,
    "utr_diff": 0.75,
    "utr_p1": 0.8541176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7658823529411765,
    "utr_advantage": 5.0386294927779645,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}