Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 09:50
25 Sep 2025, 09:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jordan … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jordan Thompson
Ranking
#111
UTR Rating
15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#88
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/21 = 47,6%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -81,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2703 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3083 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -987,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,1098 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,7724 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6737 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,8682 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,9780 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,5960 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1875 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,0530 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9355 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6502 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,1364 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,1515 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4451 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22,2190 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9294 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9785 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7931 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4902 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,6219 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,0414 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,3770 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1097 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0112 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,4302 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9963
API ID
14740383
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 9963,
"api_id": 14740383,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jordan Thompson",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-25T05:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.04,
"utr_ranking": 88,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 88,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.2702702702702703,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3083328196501787,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -987,
"best_rank_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.109804923758425,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6736842105263158,
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"surface_wr_p1": 52.86821705426356,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.978021978021985,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.59595959595959,
"p1_surface_matches": 64,
"p2_surface_matches": 95,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1875,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.053014609421595,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.9355043018996554,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6502317062782197,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.1364055711730146,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.1514575347133444,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.4450964732941465,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.218999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9293785310734464,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9785407725321889,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7931034482758621,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.49019607843137253,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.621948305958982,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.0414440404867533,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.376992664113048,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10968217054263552,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011219780219780096,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.370000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.828235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.871764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -2.43021346469623,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}