Casper Ruud vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 11:00
25 Sep 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Casper … | Shintaro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casper Ruud
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/33 = 66,7%
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 99,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,6154 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1535 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2248,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 90,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,2312 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,3489 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8471 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,1282 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,8970 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,8090 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 72,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 85,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,0428 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,2884 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,7235 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,8109 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,4289 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4408 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,3700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 27,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2783 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7388 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3810 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,0298 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8930 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 19,8798 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0523 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1580 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 27,6936 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,5672 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
9965
API ID
14740382
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 9965,
"api_id": 14740382,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Casper Ruud",
"player2": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-25T07:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.57,
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"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.58,
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"wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 22,
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"p2": {
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"best_rank_diff": 90,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.231195161427713,
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"p1_surface_matches": 72,
"p2_surface_matches": 85,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.042821782868295,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.288350951374198,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.723534837255748,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.810860147604323,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.42885602769323583,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4407929280022307,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.37000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 27,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2782874617737003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7388059701492538,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.38095238095238093,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.029804351367694,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.893028129714722,
"surface_rank_synergy": 19.879835851995345,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0522820512820511,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15797009966777398,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 27.69358548428314,
"utr_diff": 0.9900000000000002,
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"utr_p2": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_advantage": 6.567164179104479,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}