Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastián Báez
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 32
25 Sep 2025, 13:05
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carlos … Sebastián … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 37/43 = 86,0%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking #36
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 3/14 = 21,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 35,0000
rank_ratio 36,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,5835
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 10660,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 58,9090
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 51,1754
surface_matches_ratio 2,4194
surface_tournaments_won_diff 6,0000
surface_wr_p1 82,7326
surface_wr_p2 23,8235
surface_wr_p1_stable 79,7468
surface_wr_p2_stable 28,5714
p1_surface_matches 75,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6267
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 16,2103
first_serve_won_diff 8,7090
second_serve_won_diff 11,1736
bp_saved_diff 8,3690
bp_converted_diff 2,3694
aces_per_match_diff 4,2518
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 78,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 53,0150
current_streak_diff 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 17,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5238
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 0,7046
serve_consistency_p2 42,3689
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 211,1016
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2923
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2268
elite_surface_amplifier 117,8181
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9788
utr_p2 0,9788
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 9967
API ID 14740386
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
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    "player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-09-25T09:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
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