Matteo Berrettini vs Holger Rune
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
16 Ene 2025, 10:10
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matteo … Holger … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #31
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Holger Rune
Ranking #16
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 23/35 = 65,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -41,0000
rank_ratio 0,2807
log_rank_ratio -1,2705
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1635,0000
best_rank_diff -2,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -12,9279
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,9412
surface_matches_ratio 0,5802
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,2895
surface_wr_p2 66,2174
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 65,8824
p1_surface_matches 47,0000
p2_surface_matches 81,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0638
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,7746
first_serve_won_diff 3,8729
second_serve_won_diff -4,7241
bp_saved_diff 8,2583
bp_converted_diff -1,9094
aces_per_match_diff 5,6277
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 57,1429
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,7143
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0255
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1432
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5588
serve_consistency_p1 1,3235
serve_consistency_p2 10,4368
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,4244
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0739
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1212
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 999
API ID 13300913
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 999,
    "api_id": 13300913,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Matteo Berrettini",
    "player2": "Holger Rune",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2025-01-16T06:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 57,
      "utr_singles": 15.45,
      "utr_ranking": 31,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.71428571428571,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.45,
      "ranking": 31,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -41,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2807017543859649,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.270462545594769,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -1635,
    "best_rank_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -12.927917620137293,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.941176470588225,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5802469135802469,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.28947368421052,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.21739130434781,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.88235294117646,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 81,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06382978723404255,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.774645881006862,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.872860411899296,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.7241018306636136,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.258272311212806,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.909382151029746,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.627723112128146,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.714285714285737,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0254777070063694,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.143236074270557,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.32352941176471,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.436755530345998,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.424435128919093,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07389473684210524,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12117391304347813,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}