Matteo Berrettini vs Holger Rune
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
16 Ene 2025, 10:10
16 Ene 2025, 10:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Holger … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#31
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Holger Rune
Ranking
#16
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
23/35 = 65,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2807 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2705 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1635,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,9279 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,9412 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5802 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,2895 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0638 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,7746 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,8729 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,7241 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,2583 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,9094 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,6277 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,7143 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0255 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1432 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5588 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,3235 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4368 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,4244 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0739 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1212 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
999
API ID
13300913
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 999,
"api_id": 13300913,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Berrettini",
"player2": "Holger Rune",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-16T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 31,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": null,
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"wr_surface": 65.71428571428571,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 31,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -1.270462545594769,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1635,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.927917620137293,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.941176470588225,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5802469135802469,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.28947368421052,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.21739130434781,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
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"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06382978723404255,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.774645881006862,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.872860411899296,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.7241018306636136,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.258272311212806,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.909382151029746,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.627723112128146,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.714285714285737,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0254777070063694,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.143236074270557,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.32352941176471,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.436755530345998,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.424435128919093,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07389473684210524,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12117391304347813,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}