Matteo Berrettini vs Holger Rune
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
16 Jan 2025, 06:10
16 Jan 2025, 06:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Holger … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
15.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
25/47 = 53.2%
Holger Rune
Ranking
#15
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
54/81 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2679 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.3173 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1645.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12.9279 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12.9412 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5802 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53.2895 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52.9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0638 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11.7746 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.8729 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.7241 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8.2583 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.9094 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5.6277 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11.7143 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0255 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1432 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5588 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1.3235 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.4368 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 17.0300 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0739 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1212 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9153 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
999
API ID
13300913
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 999,
"api_id": 13300913,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Berrettini",
"player2": "Holger Rune",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-01-16T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 15.78,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.191489361702125,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 54,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.78,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -41,
"rank_ratio": 0.26785714285714285,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3173014896329391,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1645,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.927917620137293,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.941176470588225,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5802469135802469,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.28947368421052,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.21739130434781,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.88235294117646,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06382978723404255,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.774645881006862,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.872860411899296,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.7241018306636136,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.258272311212806,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.909382151029746,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.627723112128146,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.714285714285737,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0254777070063694,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.143236074270557,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.32352941176471,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.436755530345998,
"surface_rank_synergy": 17.029965138858778,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07389473684210524,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12117391304347813,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.9152941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.9152941176470587,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}